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Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-2.5 100% Volume: $185K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 40.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: wimbledon atp: nuno borges vs tristan boyer stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Tristan Boyer in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Argentina. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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