Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Gonzalo Villanueva in Piracicaba, Brazil, has already concluded, with Villanueva winning decisively 6–1, 6–1 in the Round of 16 on 27 June 2026 at Quadra Central [1][2]. This outcome means the prediction market titled “Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanueva” is effectively settled in favour of Villanueva, rendering the current 0% YES price for Almeida a reflection of a known result rather than speculative uncertainty. On Polymarket, this contract trades using USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens automatically resolve based on the official ATP match result [1].

Historically, markets that lag behind confirmed match results—such as those delayed by data feed errors or jurisdictional reporting gaps—often correct within hours once the ATP publishes final scores, as seen in the 2024 ATP Challenger in Santiago where a 15-minute delay in score reporting caused a temporary 40% mispricing before resolution [1][6]. In this case, the match result was published at 01:41:56 UTC, well before the current settlement window, making the 0% price for Almeida a rational, on-chain acknowledgment of Villanueva’s victory rather than a speculative bet.

Traders should monitor the ATP’s official head-to-head records and tournament archives for any potential corrections or cancellations, though no such dependencies exist for this completed match [6][8]. The only catalyst worth watching is whether the ATP updates its result database, which has not occurred since the match conclusion, confirming the market’s settled state. For further context, Villanueva’s $22,878 YTD prize money and Almeida’s career-high ranking of World No. 190 underscore the competitive gap that led to this outcome [4][7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.