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Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) 100% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Karmine Corp (+7.5)1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: valorant: team vitality vs karmine corp (bo3) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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