Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs XLG Gaming (+8.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs XLG Gaming (+9.5) | 53% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-11.5) vs XLG Gaming (+11.5) | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 48% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 47% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs XLG Gaming (+12.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: gentle mates vs xlg gaming (bo3) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and XLG Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Argentina. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO… on Polymarket Argentina
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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