Pronóstico: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Kansas City Royals face the Chicago White Sox in an MLB game at Rate Field on Friday, 26 June at 7:40pm ET, with the market currently pricing a Royals win at 0% probability. On Polymarket, this conditional token trades on USDC via Polygon, where the zero-per-cent price reflects a stark on-chain consensus that the White Sox are the overwhelming favourite, despite the Royals’ recent 3–3 draw against Chicago in May[2].

Historically, MLB markets with a 0% price for one side often precede a heavy upset only when injury news or weather delays shift the odds late; such cases are rare, as seen in past seasons where a 0% price held firm until game time, confirming the market’s initial read[1]. The White Sox’s superior record (41–38) and higher run total (364) versus the Royals’ 34–48 and 364 runs frame why traders treat this as a near-lock[1][4].

Traders should monitor the official starting lineups and any late injury reports for both teams, as a key pitcher’s absence could alter the outcome. The White Sox’s 14th-ranked batting average (0.244) and 11th in hits (673) suggest a strong offensive edge, but a sudden roster change could shift the on-chain price[4]. No major weather delays are forecast for Rate Field, keeping the game’s resolution dependent purely on player performance[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.