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Pronóstico: LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Live odds for "Pronóstico: LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) 84% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 71% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? 64% Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) 60% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $420K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)84%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?71%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?64%
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)60%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor47%
Any Player Quadra Kill47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor47%
Any Player Quadra Kill47%
First Blood in Game 1?44%
O/U 3.5 Games42%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors42%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?37%
Game 4 Winner36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
First Blood in Game 4?32%
First Blood in Game 2?27%
First Blood in Game 3?27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Game 3 Winner18%
Game 2 Winner17%
O/U 4.5 Games15%
Game 1 Winner14%
Any Player Quadra Kill14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor12%
Match Winner7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

Market consensus: 84% chance of pronóstico: lol: team secret whales vs top esports (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Secret Whales and Top Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 11:0…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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