Pronóstico: Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Curaçao and Côte d’Ivoire are set to play their final Group E match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Thursday, 25 June at 4:00 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at 66% YES, implying a strong market belief that the game will feature more than the standard number of scoring opportunities or related statistical thresholds. The price reflects on-chain liquidity in USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens are being used to settle outcomes based on the match’s official statistics.

Historically, World Cup group-stage matches between lower-ranked and mid-tier nations have often produced volatile scoring patterns, especially when both teams need a win to advance. In the 2022 tournament, similar fixtures saw average goals exceed 2.5 in over 60% of cases when elimination was on the line. Curaçao’s recent form shows defensive frailties, while Côte d’Ivoire has scored in every group match so far, supporting the current probability.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements on team line-ups, particularly whether Côte d’Ivoire’s top strikers are fully fit after their training session ahead of the game [8]. The match schedule is fixed, but any late injury news or tactical shifts could alter the expected market flow. With the settlement window closing at 20:00 UTC on 25 June, all conditional token positions must be resolved before the deadline, making real-time data from FS1 and ESPN critical for accurate on-chain settlement [1][2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.