Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 84% |
| Map 2 Winner | 61% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 61% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 40% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 40% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 40% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: counter-strike: faze vs 3dmax (bo3) - xse pro league group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FaZe and 3DMAX in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Argentina. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XS… on Polymarket Argentina
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →