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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 100% Volume: $661K Liquidity: $5K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: 3dmax vs nip (bo1) - xse pro league group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between 3DMAX and NIP in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DM…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE… on Polymarket Argentina

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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