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Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5 0% Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.5 0% Volume: $186K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild0%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner0%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner0%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.50%
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Argentina. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago… on Polymarket Argentina

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Related Topics

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