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Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 Winner 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $290K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 Winner100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 36.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 38.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 40.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron0%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 4 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set 4 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Set Handicap +/-2.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 4.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: wimbledon atp: corentin moutet vs marcos giron. This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Marcos Giron in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos… on Polymarket Argentina

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Related Topics

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