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Pronóstico: United States vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: United States vs. Belgium - Total Corners" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Argentina.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 84% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 78% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 75% United States Corners: O/U 3.5 72% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $641K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: United States vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.584%
Total Corners: O/U 7.578%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.575%
United States Corners: O/U 3.572%
Belgium Corners: O/U 3.565%
Total Corners: O/U 8.563%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.563%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.560%
United States Corners: O/U 4.556%
Team to Take First Corner54%
Total Corners: O/U 9.552%
Belgium Corners: O/U 4.551%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.550%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.546%
Total Corners: O/U 10.542%
United States Corners: O/U 5.537%
Belgium Corners: O/U 5.534%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.534%
Total Corners: O/U 11.533%
Total Corners: O/U 12.522%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: united states vs. belgium - total corners stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Belgium, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: United States vs. Belgium - Total Corners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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