Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Liaoning Tieren face Shandong Taishan in a Chinese Super League match at Tiexi New District Sports Center on Saturday, 27 June 2026, with the game kicking off at 11:00 UTC. On Polymarket, this conditional token contract is priced at 0% YES, reflecting a market consensus that the specific outcome being wagered upon is virtually impossible under current conditions. The underlying USDC liquidity on the Polygon network shows no active bids for the YES side, indicating traders see no credible catalyst for the event to settle favourably.
Historically, similar 0% pricing in Chinese Super League markets has occurred when the wagered outcome contradicts strong team form or head-to-head records. In this fixture, tipsters at Sportsgambler rate Liaoning Tieren as a value bet with a 60% probability of winning, often predicting a 1-0 scoreline, while Shandong Taishan sit lower in the standings with a 5-2-8 record compared to Liaoning’s 7-3-5[1][3]. Past cases where markets hit 0% usually preceded matches where the outcome was mathematically or statistically implausible given pre-match odds, suggesting the current pricing aligns with established performance trends rather than an anomaly.
Traders should monitor official line-up announcements and any late injury updates before the 11:00 UTC start, as these dependencies can shift conditional token valuations rapidly. Recent coverage from theScore confirms live score and odds updates will be available throughout the match, providing real-time data that could influence on-chain trading if the settlement criteria are misaligned with actual game flow[8]. No major squad news has emerged yet, but the absence of confirmed starters for Shandong Taishan remains a key variable to watch as the settlement window closes on 27 June 2026.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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