Pronóstico: Panama vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Panama and England at MetLife Stadium on 27 June 2026 carries a crowd-implied probability of just 3% for an exact score outcome, reflecting the heavy mismatch in current form. Panama sits at the bottom of Group L with zero points after losing to Ghana and drawing with Bosnia, while England leads the group with four points following a win against Ghana and a draw with Bosnia[1]. This disparity mirrors historical World Cup encounters where lower-ranked nations struggle to contain England’s attacking depth, particularly in the opening group stages where defensive errors often dictate the final scoreline[3].

Traders should monitor England’s pre-match training reports and Panama’s injury list, as both teams have shown volatility in recent fixtures[2]. The match is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET with doors opening at 2:00 PM, and any postponement would keep the market open until completion[4]. Recent head-to-head data shows Panama averaging 1.4 goals per match but conceding 2.2, while England’s defensive record remains tight in this tournament[6]. On-chain, the contract settles via USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, meaning liquidity shifts will directly reflect real-time news on squad availability and tactical adjustments before kick-off.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.