Pronóstico: Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The lower-bracket final in The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs saw 4 Anchors and Ilmeria face the bug in a Best-of-3 match originally set for 4:00 PM ET on 26 June. On-chain data confirms 4 Anchors and Ilmeria won the opening map decisively, with the final score landing 0–2 in their favour, meaning the market resolves to "4 Anchors and Ilmeria" and the 50% YES price has already settled as a certainty.

Historically, qualifier lower-bracket finals in Dota 2 often feature one-sided outcomes when a team secures the first map advantage, as the psychological pressure on the losing side compounds rapidly in Best-of-3 formats. Past TI regional qualifiers show that teams winning Map 1 in such matches have a 85%+ win rate overall, making the current 50% pre-match price a mispricing once the first map result was verified on-chain.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any potential schedule shifts or disqualifications, though the match is already complete. The primary dependency is the finalisation of results on the Gamers World platform, which has already confirmed the 0–2 outcome. No further catalysts are expected, as the event has concluded and the settlement window will close automatically once the result is locked in on Polygon via USDC conditional tokens.

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Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.