Pronóstico: New Zealand vs. Belgium - Halftime Result

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Active sub-markets

Market context

New Zealand and Belgium are locked at 0-0 in their FIFA World Cup Group G clash at BC Place, with the on-chain contract for a New Zealand halftime win priced at 0% USDC on Polymarket today. This zero probability reflects the stark reality that the match has already reached the settlement window, and the conditional tokens for a home win are now worthless on the Polygon network.

Historically, New Zealand’s inability to secure a halftime lead is well-documented; they surrendered a half-time advantage to lose 3-1 against Egypt in their previous World Cup outing, remaining winless in eight matches after that collapse[3][6]. Comparable cases show that when a team like Belgium, ranked 3rd globally, faces a winless New Zealand side ranked 4th, the draw or away outcome dominates halftime markets, making a home win statistically negligible before the game even starts[9].

Traders should monitor the final Group G qualification standings and any late tactical shifts, as Belgium’s -360 moneyline odds indicate heavy market confidence in their superiority[2]. The decisive nature of this finale means qualification pressure could force early aggression, yet the current 0% price suggests the market expects no New Zealand lead regardless of the catalysts[7]. With settlement ending at 03:00 UTC on 27 June, the on-chain USDC payouts are now fixed, and no further price movement will occur[1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.