Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 94% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 76% |
| Match Winner | 54% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 22% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Pronóstico: Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esport…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Argentina trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForc… on Polymarket Argentina
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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