Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Market context

Sashi Esport faces Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Group A lower bracket final, a match originally scheduled for 25 June at 2:00 PM ET. On Polymarket today, the contract for Sashi to win trades at 0% implied probability, reflecting a near-total market consensus that Inner Circle will secure the victory. This pricing aligns with on-chain mechanics on Polygon, where USDC settles conditional tokens based strictly on the official match result, with no margin for subjective interpretation.

Historical head-to-head data frames this extreme probability reading. The last encounter between these sides on 29 November 2025 saw Inner Circle Esport triumph 2–1, and Strafe users subsequently predicted an 82.8% chance of Inner Circle winning the current fixture [1]. GosuGamers confirms the match concluded 2–1 in favour of Inner Circle on 25 June [3], reinforcing the pattern that Sashi struggles to overcome this opponent in high-stakes CS2 formats. Such consistent outcomes justify the market’s dismissal of Sashi as a viable contender.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50–50 settlement per contract rules. While the match appears resolved, dependencies include Liquipedia’s final bracket updates and any post-match disciplinary actions that might alter official records [4]. No recent news source contradicts Inner Circle’s dominance, and the absence of Sashi-specific catalysts leaves the 0% price stable until the settlement window closes on 26 June 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.