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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $155K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Argentina) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs MIBR Academy (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike 2 match between MIBR Academy and Patins da Ferrari in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage has already concluded, with Patins da Ferrari securing a 2–1 victory. This real-world outcome explains why the Polymarket contract for MIBR Academy winning currently trades at 0% YES, as the event is settled on-chain with conditional tokens resolved to the victor.

Historical precedents in esports prediction markets show that once a match result is confirmed by official tournament data, liquidity evaporates rapidly and prices lock to the factual outcome. In similar CCT South America fixtures, markets resolved within minutes of the final map, with no post-match volatility unless a cancellation or tie occurred—neither of which applies here, as the match was played and won decisively.

Traders should monitor the official CCT South America tournament page for any administrative updates, though the result is already finalised. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms Patins da Ferrari’s win and notes their higher world ranking (101) compared to MIBR Academy (165), reinforcing the market’s zero-probability stance. No further catalysts exist, as the settlement window has effectively closed with the match outcome determined.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Argentina, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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