Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

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Market context

Inner Circle Esports and Sharks are set to clash in the Super DraculaN Semifinal 1, a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 series scheduled for 8:00 AM ET today. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at 0% for Inner Circle winning, reflecting a near-total market consensus that Sharks will prevail. The price is anchored in USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens lock in the payout only if the verified winner matches the bet—HLTV and Gamers World serve as the on-chain verification sources.

Historically, such extreme 0% pricing in esports BO3s often precedes a match cancellation or a tie, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution under the market’s rules. In comparable cases from the 2025 Digital Crusade playoffs, a 0% entry price for the underdog coincided with a delayed start beyond seven days, forcing a split payout. However, Strafe’s live voting data shows 86.3% of users backing Sharks, while Thunderbook odds list Inner Circle at 1.78 and Sharks at 1.92, suggesting the 0% may be an overreaction rather than a true event forecast[1][3].

Traders should monitor the official map veto announcement, as Inner Circle’s ability to ban Nuke could neutralise Sharks’ strongest map and shift momentum[3]. The match’s start time is critical; any delay beyond 7 days from 8:00 AM ET will resolve the market to 50-50. Kalshi’s market closed at 54% for Sharks, with a 4% drop in probability overnight, indicating slight volatility in the pre-match window[4]. Watch for HLTV’s live stream confirmation, as any technical failure or team absence could invalidate the result and trigger the tie clause.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.