Pronóstico: What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin is currently trading in a consolidating range around the low $70,000 region, with intraday prices fluctuating between $72,500 and $74,000, indicating a neutral-to-slightly positive direction that lacks a confirmed breakout[6]. Historical forecasts for June 2026 suggest an average trading price near $64,977, with technical analyses projecting a minimum cost of $68,003 and a potential peak of $91,945[1]. The crowd-implied probability of 0% for a specific price target reflects this market indecision, as Bitcoin has not yet reclaimed the critical resistance zone of $73,800–$74,000, which is essential for confirming a sustained rally[6].

Traders on Polymarket should monitor the upcoming appointment of the new chair for the U.S. Federal Reserve, as Jerome Powell’s term ends in May and the incoming leader is expected to adopt a dovish stance[5]. This regulatory shift is a primary dependency for institutional flows, which must step back in to absorb the selling pressure currently building in the market[3]. Additionally, algorithmically generated models forecast a 46.38% price increase over the next month, potentially reaching $91,575 by late July, contingent on these macroeconomic dependencies resolving favourably[2]. The contract, settled in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens, prices these catalysts today rather than the abstract event itself.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.